Tammy Fiorenze

538 Presidential Polls 2024 Electoral College. A total of 538 electoral college votes are up for grabs, and a candidate needs 270 to win. Harris wins pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin, matching biden’s 2020 outcome in those states.

Our prediction model shows the chances kamala harris and donald trump have of winning the contest to be america’s next president. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.